Oscar Index: Critics Have 'Amour' For 'Zero Dark Thirty' & 'The Master,' But Who's 'Les Miserables' This Christmas?

Oscar Index - Best Supporting Actor 12/21
Best Supporting Actor

This exceptional field would be Oscar night’s most competitive. But here, too, there is room for surprises. Leonardo DiCaprio, the only non-Oscar-winner in this group, may have stolen Javier Bardem’s thunder with his flamboyant villainous turn in Django Unchained.

1. Tommy Lee Jones (Lincoln)
2. Robert DeNiro (Silver Linings Playbook)
3. Phillip Seymour Hoffman (The Master)
4. Alan Arkin (Argo)
5. Leonardo DiCaprio (Django Unchained)

Ones to watch: Javier Bardem (Skyfall), Christoph Waltz (Django Unchained)

Oscar Index - Best Supporting Actress 12/21
Best Supporting Actress

Three of these slots — Hathaway, Field and Hunt — can be considered to be set. That leaves two slots open for what has traditionally been Oscar’s most unpredictable field. Just for fun, let’s ride out Nicole Kidman’s surprise SAG and Golden Globe nominations for at least another week. The much-hyped return of “Downton Abbey” in January (after the Oscar ballots are due), is keeping Maggie Smith in Academy voters’ hearts and minds. It’s beginning to look like if Skyfall is going to get an acting nomination, it will be for Bardem and not Judi Dench. Like Joaquin Phoenix, Amy Adams was snubbed by the SAG. Unlike the prickly Phoenix, the much more accessible Adams is still very much in play, say the Gold Derby cabal of critics.

1. Anne Hathaway (Les Miserables)
2. Sally Field (Lincoln)
3. Amy Adams (The Master)
4. Helen Hunt (The Sessions)
5. Nicole Kidman (The Paperboy)

Ones to watch: Judi Dench (Skyfall), Maggie Smith (Best Exotic Marigold Hotel)

READ MORE OSCAR INDEX:

Oscar Index: 'Zero Dark Thirty' Caught In The Cross-Hairs

Oscar Index: 'Zero Dark' Domination & McConaughey's 'Magic' Moves

Oscar Index: Everything's 'Dark' And 'Miserables,' Until We Get 'Unchained'

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Comments

  • Lisa J. says:

    BTW, It was John Payne in "Miracle On 34th Street"

    • Donald Liebenson says:

      Lisa: Thank you for pointing that out. That is a particularly egrigous mistake as I have already watched the movie about four times on AMC in the past week.

  • Jake says:

    Just saw Les Mis last night and it is definitely Oscar worthy. Excellent adaptation of the play. I have some issues with the play and the unrealistic love story, but I can't fault the film adaptation for sticking so close to the original material. Hathaway deserves the Oscar for her performance and Hooper was tremendous. For me, it's a race between him and David O Russell for best director.

    Spielberg being nominated for best director for Lincoln is a joke. The direction on that film is like watching a made for TV movie. DDL nails it as Lincoln, but the direction is boring, stilted and weak. But then again, the Oscar's almost never reward directors and cinematographers for their craft. It's more a popularity contest that doesn't actually reward achievements in those fields. I don't think most Academy voters know what good direction is, frankly. It's more, "I like that movie, let's give him Best Director."

  • ahmed says:

    you forgot to mention about FLIGHT in the best picture category

    • Donald Liebenson says:

      I didn't forget as much as I don't think it's got enough liftoff to be nominated in this category. And in the future I will try to keep aviation puns to a minimum.

      • Jake says:

        That and Flight was terrible. What an unbearable soundtrack! The Stones a billion times. Great. Totally modern.

        Zemeckis really needs to give it up. And the trailer! What a bait and switch. This is a movie about... Alcoholism?? Lame.

  • Paul says:

    Anthony Hopkins for Hitchcock has to be somewhat of a contender.

  • Guest says:

    weird that the write up seems to say that beasts of the southern wild's odds are improving, but the chart has it going down.

  • Andrew K says:

    Geez, what happaned to the love for Joaquin? When that movie came out, everyone was quick to proclaim him a winner, and now he's not even getting nominated/predicted. Still the performance of the year, in my book.

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