Glimmers Of Gold: An Early Look At The 2013 Oscar Race

2013 Early Oscar predictions


2013 Oscar odds

Joaquin Phoenix

Daniel Day-Lewis’s elongated, stovepipe hat–wearing silhouette has loomed over this category ever since it was announced that he would be playing Abe Lincoln in Spielberg’s long-awaited biopic. But the underwhelming response to the trailer has loosened DDL’s grip on what would be his third statuette. Lincoln’s high-pitched whine  may be historically accurate, but isn’t likely to resonate as loudly with voters as the deep, stentorian rumble of Daniel Plainview in There Will Be Blood. Right now, it looks like Day-Lewis’s greatest competition is coming in the form of a hunchbacked, wild-eyed Joaquin Phoenix, whose performance in The Master is lauded even by critics who disliked the film. (Unless Philip Seymour Hoffman somehow ends up in the running for the same movie — see Best Supporting Actor below — and they cancel each other out.)

Bradley Cooper’s also been getting nothing but love for not playing a total d-bag for once in Silver Linings Playbook. John Hawkes’s turn in The Sessions as a God-fearing paraplegic looking for nookie could get a nod, as long as the Academy doesn’t feel it’s just too obvious. Nobody’s won best actor for a musical since Rex Harrison in 1963 (My Fair Lady), but Hugh Jackman has made it quite clear how much acting went into his performance in Les Miserables. If Amour gets any play beyond the foreign language category, French screen legend Jean-Louis Trintignan is bound to get a nomination. Finally, there are a few question marks surrounding performances we haven’t yet seen from actors who can never be counted out, including Anthony Hopkins (Hitchock); Denzel Washington (Flight); and Jamie Foxx (Django Unchained).


2013 Oscar odds

Quvenzhané Wallis

The first actress to lock up a nomination in this category was 8-year-old Quvenzhané Wallis, whose performance as a headstrong swamp child in Beasts of the Southern Wild deserves every superlative critics have used to describe it. Silver Linings Playbook star Jennifer Lawrence, who’s just 14 years older, has a good chance to get her second nomination in this category, which would put her on pace to become the next Meryl Streep.

The rest of the field, however, is a bit of a blur. Seemingly at a loss to fill it, pundits have been throwing out every previous Oscar winner they can think of who’s got a movie out, including Streep (for the tepidly reviewed Hope Springs), Helen Mirren (Hitchcock), Viola Davis (Won’t Back Down), and Judi Dench (The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel,and even — I'm not kidding — Skyfall). Two of the strongest contenders are Frenchwomen: Emmanuelle Riva, for Amour, and Marion Cotillard, who fills the “John Hawkes slot,” playing a double amputee who finds love in Rust and Bone.

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  • pablo says:

    the dark night rises best picture in the year avengers .prometheus,, premios oscar to depreciate now

  • Michael says:

    I don't know if it was just a mistake or what sources you are using, but Jennifer Lawrence is not 14.. She's much older, 22.

  • Julian Sancton says:

    Hey Michael. No mistake: Jennifer Lawrence is 14 years oldER than 8-year-old Quvenzhané Wallis.

  • don't forget bill murray.

  • Martin says:

    Check my predictions for every category at and tell me what you think

  • What about some love for Middle of Nowhere for Best Original Screenplay, Actress and Director? I know it's a longshot but that movie is amazing.

  • Brent says:

    Best Picture I see Argo winning, Life of Pi, Silver Linings Playbook, The Master, Les Mis, Lincoln, with a toss up between Dark Thirty Zero, Beasts of the Southern Wild, and Moonrise Kingdom

  • Dale says:

    The movie was released early in the year so a well-deserved nomination for Rachel Weisz in "The Deep Blue Sea" probably won't happen. A pity - she gave what I consider the best performance of the year. She already has a supporting Oscar for "The Constant Gardener" but she deserves another one for this much more challenging role.

  • lola says:

    Kristen Stewart for ON THE ROAD.

  • Diana Glinden says:

    Dont forget Oliver Stone's Savages...great screenplay

  • Sarah says:

    I think Javier Bardem deserves best supporting actor for his role as Raul Silva in skyfall!

  • Allen Oster says:

    Sally Field is one of the most over-rated actresses of all time. Everything she does ('Norma Rae,"
    "Places in the Heart," "Steel Magnolias," and now "Lincoln') has the same quality, speech patterns,
    fretting expressions, a lack of nuance and distinction. But Hollywood really "likes her!' Everything she does is the same! She never overcame her fretting, yet smiling "Flying Nun gimmick and schtick.

  • Is it Sally Field, or is it the role? As much as I admire Tony Kushner's script, I don't think Field was given much to work with. The whole purpose of her character seemed to be about demonstrating that Lincoln was henpecked.

  • Peggy says:

    The Town? Argo? Keep it up Ben Affleck, you have really pulled it together.

  • Martins says:

    Shocking! Brilliant! Nicole is always reinventing herself. She deserves the Oscar nomination for versatility and the risks assumed... Sexy, Wild, Exotic. Charlotte Bless is one of the characters for the history of contemporary cinema. Art

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