Glimmers Of Gold: An Early Look At The 2013 Oscar Race

2013 Early Oscar predictions


2013 Oscar odds

Philip Seymour Hoffman

It’ll take a miracle, or at least a mild injustice, to take this statuette away from Philip Seymour Hoffman, whose performance in The Master lives up to the title. But Alan Arkin (Argo), John Goodman (also Argo), Tommy Lee Jones (Lincoln), Robert De Niro (Silver Linings Playbook), Hal Holbrooke (Promised Land), and Jim Broadbent (Cloud Atlas) will give it their best shots. Oscar savant Scott Feinberg over at the Hollywood Reporter is long on Leonardo DiCaprio in Django Unchained (who, for me, comes off as a cross between Snidely Whiplash and Foghorn Leghorn), and baker-turned-actor Dwight Henry from Beasts of the Southern Wild.  Awards Daily blogger Sasha Stone warns her fellow pundits never to prognosticate with their hearts, but I have the highest hopes for Sacha Baron Cohen as evil innkeeper Thénardier in Les Misérables, which is a meaty enough part to catch the Academy’s attention.


Leading the pack is Sally “You Like Me!” Field, who plays Mary Todd to Day-Lewis’s Abe Lincoln. Amy Adams also seems to figure on every blogger’s list for her turn as a devoted wife, cult acolyte, and handjob artist in The Master. Helen Hunt (The Sessions) is also a pretty common pick. And six-time nominee (and two-time winner) Dame Maggie Smith could clear some room on her mantle for another statuette: her performance in The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel is as warm and nuanced as the dowager she plays on Downton Abbey is acerbic. Les Misérables’ trio of grisettes Anne Hathaway, Amanda Seyfried, and Samantha Barks could all potentially cadge a nomination, although the promos seem to indicate that Universal is pushing Hathaway.

Did I miss anyone?  Let me know in the comments.

Julian Sancton is a writer based in Manhattan. He has contributed to Vanity Fair, Esquire and Playboy, among other publications.

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  • pablo says:

    the dark night rises best picture in the year avengers .prometheus,, premios oscar to depreciate now

  • Michael says:

    I don't know if it was just a mistake or what sources you are using, but Jennifer Lawrence is not 14.. She's much older, 22.

  • Julian Sancton says:

    Hey Michael. No mistake: Jennifer Lawrence is 14 years oldER than 8-year-old Quvenzhané Wallis.

  • don't forget bill murray.

  • Martin says:

    Check my predictions for every category at and tell me what you think

  • What about some love for Middle of Nowhere for Best Original Screenplay, Actress and Director? I know it's a longshot but that movie is amazing.

  • Brent says:

    Best Picture I see Argo winning, Life of Pi, Silver Linings Playbook, The Master, Les Mis, Lincoln, with a toss up between Dark Thirty Zero, Beasts of the Southern Wild, and Moonrise Kingdom

  • Dale says:

    The movie was released early in the year so a well-deserved nomination for Rachel Weisz in "The Deep Blue Sea" probably won't happen. A pity - she gave what I consider the best performance of the year. She already has a supporting Oscar for "The Constant Gardener" but she deserves another one for this much more challenging role.

  • lola says:

    Kristen Stewart for ON THE ROAD.

  • Diana Glinden says:

    Dont forget Oliver Stone's Savages...great screenplay

  • Sarah says:

    I think Javier Bardem deserves best supporting actor for his role as Raul Silva in skyfall!

  • Allen Oster says:

    Sally Field is one of the most over-rated actresses of all time. Everything she does ('Norma Rae,"
    "Places in the Heart," "Steel Magnolias," and now "Lincoln') has the same quality, speech patterns,
    fretting expressions, a lack of nuance and distinction. But Hollywood really "likes her!' Everything she does is the same! She never overcame her fretting, yet smiling "Flying Nun gimmick and schtick.

  • Is it Sally Field, or is it the role? As much as I admire Tony Kushner's script, I don't think Field was given much to work with. The whole purpose of her character seemed to be about demonstrating that Lincoln was henpecked.

  • Peggy says:

    The Town? Argo? Keep it up Ben Affleck, you have really pulled it together.

  • Martins says:

    Shocking! Brilliant! Nicole is always reinventing herself. She deserves the Oscar nomination for versatility and the risks assumed... Sexy, Wild, Exotic. Charlotte Bless is one of the characters for the history of contemporary cinema. Art

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