Conan Wins, and 4 Other Major Emmy Upsets to Watch Out For

Movieline was quick to recognize the most egregious Emmy nomination snubs last month, and in the same spirit, we feel it is our duty to prepare you for the five most surprising (yet entirely plausible) shake-ups that could occur at Sunday's ceremony* and possibly incite someone to set fire to his or her office poll during your red carpet-themed viewing party.

*Which, by the way, Movieline will be attending and live-blogging. The Emmy ceremony that is, not your party -- but that sounds like fun too.

· Jane Lynch Fails to Win Best Supporting Actress in a Comedy Series

Although most viewers assumed that Lynch had the Emmy locked up ever since she told her Cheerios "You think this is hard? Try being waterboarded. That's hard!" during Glee's pilot, 30 Rock's Jane Krakowski had her best season yet. As the flawlessly loopy Jenna Maroney, she dated an anime fetishist played by James Franco, romanced the drag version of herself (played by Will Forte) and reunited with her dental hygienist/deadbeat mother Verna. The EGOT-bound Krakowski may not spit insults about dancing elves and talent as contagious as herpes, but she has never needed to be auto-tuned.

· Conan O'Brien's Tonight Show Upsets the Daily Show and the Colbert Report

This stands to be the first time that Emmy voters cast their ballots based on which nominee will give the most entertaining acceptance speech. Sure, the Daily Show swept this category for the past seven years, and the Colbert Report already took home the Emmy for Best Writing in the Variety category last weekend but Emmy voters and America wants to see Conan O'Brien, Andy Richter, Triumph the Insult Dog, the Masturbating Bear and every other besmirched Tonight Show with Conan O'Brien cast and crew member (save for turncoat Max Weinberg) clamber onstage and tell NBC where to shove those statuettes.

· Alec Baldwin Does Not Threepeat in the Lead Comedy Actor Category

Steve Carell has finally announced that he is leaving The Office after spending six loyal years at Dunder Mifflin. And even though his character may not have the brains or gravitas of Jack Donaghy, it is time that someone recognizes Carell for making one of the U.K.'s most popular television exports accessible in the U.S. Without Carell, the Office would have been canceled after a few seasons, chalked up as a failed adaptation and Amy Poehler would have never gotten to take on Parks and Recreation. Also in Carell's favor, Michael Scott enjoyed his most heroic season yet having saved Dunder Mifflin from bankruptcy.

· Lea Michele Wins Best Actress in a Comedy Series

While this category is full of accomplished actresses who consistently outperform their primetime peers (among them, Edie Falco, Toni Collette, Tina Fey and Julia Louis-Dreyfus), Michele's first regular television role has proven that she can belt out "Don't Rain on My Parade," excel at choreography set to any Journey song, cry on cue, pull off a homemade Lady Gaga costume, and convincingly take a slushie to the face. Try that, Edie Falco.

· Mad Men Does Not Win For Best Drama Series

Sorry, Matthew Weiner and Co. but there is no way that Mad Men is getting its third consecutive Best Drama title because of the epic nostalgia-coaster that was Lost's final season. Better luck next year.