Movieline Predicts Sunday's Winners with Our Complete Oscar Ballot
As a faithful Movieline reader, we want you to win your Oscar pool this year. Still, let's be realistic: This goal is going to take determination, focus, drive, and a lot of cribbing from Movieline's fully completed Oscar predictions ballot. Read on for our informed guesses, and good luck!
- Kyle and Seth
The Blind Side
The Hurt Locker
A Serious Man
Up in the Air
Will Win: It's the $500 Million Wonder vs. the Movie That Wants to Be Comfortable If It Dies. Technology vs artistry. Character design vs. character development. Ex against ex. We hand it to The Hurt Locker.
Dark Horse: Harvey doesn't like to lose: Inglourious Basterds. -SA
Kathryn Bigelow, The Hurt Locker
James Cameron, Avatar
Lee Daniels, Precious
Jason Reitman, Up in the Air
Quentin Tarantino, Inglourious Basterds
Will Win: Whether Hurt Locker sweeps the night or comes up short, Kathryn Bigelow is a lock to win here.
Dark Horse: Neither Jason Reitman or Lee Daniels is a threat here, and Quentin Tarantino's best shot is going to come in the Original Screenplay category. As much as James Cameron has said he doesn't want to win this particular Oscar, he's the best dark horse it's got. -KB
Sandra Bullock, The Blind Side
Helen Mirren, The Last Station
Carey Mulligan, An Education
Gabourey Sidibe, Precious
Meryl Streep, Julie & Julia
Will Win: This has been a winning year for Sandra Bullock, her Razzie-caliber work and blowdryer mishaps notwithstanding. With a SAG Award and Golden Globe already in the bag, Sandy's just a few days away from her Oscar moment.
Dark Horse: There's few who have seen Gabourey Sidibe's performance who would soon forget it. If Keisha Castle-Hughes can win for Whale Rider, the girl who so devastatingly filled Precious's skin is at least as deserving. -SA
Jeff Bridges, Crazy Heart
George Clooney, Up in the Air
Colin Firth, A Single Man
Morgan Freeman, Invictus
Jeremy Renner, The Hurt Locker
Will Win: Jeff Bridges just took part in one of the most comprehensive Oscar wooings ever conducted, but managed it with good humor and a touch of class. It's his to lose.
Dark Horse: At one point, it seemed like Jeremy Renner was a dark horse to even get nominated. Now that he's made the category, however, he has two things going for him: the momentum behind The Hurt Locker, and his position as a refreshing alternative. If the stars align, he could be this year's Adrien Brody. -KB
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Penelope Cruz, Nine
Maggie Gyllenhaal, Crazy Heart
Vera Farmiga, Up in the Air
Anna Kendrick, Up in the Air
Will Win: Mo'nique, Mo'nique, Mo'nique.
Dark Horse: Mo'nique. Oh, OK, fine -- Maggie Gyllenhaal, for her sexy, slightly brittle portrayal of a single mom who finds herself falling for the wrong guy. There was no virtually campaign for her, and yet here she is. Could another surprise be in store? -SA
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Matt Damon, Invictus
Woody Harrelson, The Messenger
Christopher Plummer, The Last Station
Stanley Tucci, The Lovely Bones
Christoph Waltz, Inglourious Basterds
Will Win: It's in the way he stirs his coffee. Or glides between languages with the grace of a speed skater. It's in his daffiness, his brutality, his piercing intellect. Tarantino was right that he couldn't have made his film without finding Christoph Waltz, but find him he did.
Dark Horse: Woody Harrelson's Captain Tony Stone is a superb character study of a loner trying to make peace with the worst job conceivable -- yet one he can't walk away from. It's some of the best work of his career. -SA
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Neil Blomkamp and Terri Tatchell, District 9
Nick Hornby, An Education
Jesse Armstrong, Simon Blackwell and Armando Iannucci, In the Loop
Geoffrey Fletcher, Precious
Jason Reitman and Sheldon Turner, Up in the Air
Will Win: The Up in the Air team's behind-the-podium differences seemingly behind them, it will fall to Turner to squeeze in a thumb-up and "Hi, Mom!" before the orchestra starts playing out Reitman's long list of thank-yous to himself.
Dark Horse: The emotional favorite (around here at least) goes to In the Loop, and not just because it sounds like what happens when David Mamet kicks Al Swearengen's cat. -SA
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Mark Boal, The Hurt Locker
Ethan Coen and Joel Coen, A Serious Man
Pete Docter and Bob Peterson, Up
Alessandro Camon and Oren Moverman, The Messenger
Quentin Tarantino, Inglourious Basterds
Will Win: This could go either to reporter and screenwriter Mark Boal's fact-based (and fact-challenged) work in The Hurt Locker, or to QT's lovable WWII revenge fantasy. But with Locker looking strong in both Picture and Director categories, this is probably where the Academy will show Quentin some love with an award for Inglourious Basterds.
Dark Horse: Don't count the Coens out. A Serious Man has serious fans. -SA
BEST FOREIGN-LANGUAGE FILM
A Prophet (France)
The Milk of Sorrow (Peru)
The Secret in Their Eyes (Argentina)
The White Ribbon (Germany)
Will Win: The White Ribbon is this year's anointed foreign language juggernaut...
Dark Horse: ...yet several Oscar pundits think the more straightforward The Secret in Their Eyes will play better to the voters. Whatever the case, blood-spurting crime drama A Prophet will come up lacking. -KB
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