The 5 Most Vulnerable Best Picture Candidates

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Invictus

Tomatometer: 76%

The Odds Against It: Clint Eastwood's apartheid drama may have a famous sporting event at its center, but it hasn't won many passionate fans and it's not exactly setting the box office on fire. Though Eastwood's recent films often seemed to have a spot reserved for them in the Best Picture category, Flags of Our Fathers underwhelmed, and Gran Torino couldn't manage a single Oscar nomination.

In Its Favor: Still, Eastwood is one of the Academy's favorite auteurs, and Morgan Freeman is sure to be nominated for Best Actor. Matt Damon's supporting SAG nomination could reveal broader support for the film than is immediately apparent. The increase of the Best Picture nominees to ten will help Invictus more than most other candidates.

Final Prognosis: Need to run out the clock to stay in the game.

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Comments

  • Colander says:

    Thank you for alerting me to The Last Station's existence.

  • Sir Walt says:

    Except for the trio of performances in Up in the Air, I'm expecting those in The Education (father-daughter-boyfriend) to impress me most as well-written and well-acted parts. Maybe New Years' Eve...