Lightning Round: Let's Predict the 2012 Golden Globe Award Winners!
As yet another incredible season begins to gradually wind down, we're roughly 48 hours away from one of the year's most closely watched, hotly competitive high-stakes all-star showdowns to date. But enough about the New York Giants' journey on Sunday to battle their NFC-rival Green Bay Packers. We've got the 69th annual Golden Globe Awards to predict!
While Jen Yamato and I invite you to join us Sunday at 8 p.m. ET/5 p.m. PT for Movieline's Golden Globe livetweet extravaganza, now's the time to apply everything you've divined through the Oscar Index, our 2012 Golden Globe subplots, your bum knee and/or any other reliable awards barometers you might have at your disposal.
We're focusing on the movie categories only at this time (*: carefully calibrated predictions from Movieline's Institute For the Advanced Study of Kudos Forensics); weigh in with yours in the comments. And we'll see you back here on Sunday!
BEST MOTION PICTURE - DRAMA
The Descendants
The Help*
Hugo
The Ides of March
Moneyball
War Horse
BEST MOTION PICTURE - COMEDY OR MUSICAL
50/50
The Artist
Bridesmaids*
My Week With Marilyn
Midnight in Paris
BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A MOTION PICTURE - DRAMA
Glenn Close, Albert Nobbs
Viola Davis, The Help*
Rooney Mara, The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo
Meryl Streep, The Iron Lady
Tilda Swinton, We Need to Talk About Kevin
BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A MOTION PICTURE - DRAMA
George Clooney, The Descendants*
Leonardo DiCaprio, J. Edgar
Michael Fassbender, Shame
Ryan Gosling, The Ides of March
Brad Pitt, Moneyball
BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A MOTION PICTURE - COMEDY OR MUSICAL
Jodie Foster, Carnage
Charlize Theron, Young Adult
Kristen Wiig, Bridesmaids*
Michelle Williams, My Week With Marilyn
Kate Winslet, Carnage
BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A MOTION PICTURE - COMEDY OR MUSICAL
Jean Dujardin, The Artist
Brendan Gleeson, The Guard
Ryan Gosling, Crazy Stupid Love*
Joseph Gordon-Levitt, 50/50
Owen Wilson, Midnight in Paris
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE FILM
The Adventures of Tintin: The Secret of the Unicorn
Arthur Christmas
Cars 2
Puss In Boots
Rango*
BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
A Separation (Iran)
The Flowers Of War (China)
The Kid With The Bike (Belgium)
In The Land Of Blood and Honey (USA)*
The Skin I Live In (Spain)
BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE IN A MOTION PICTURE
Berenice Bejo, The Artist
Jessica Chastain, The Help
Janet McTeer, Albert Nobbs
Octavia Spencer, The Help*
Shailene Woodley, The Descendants
BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE IN A MOTION PICTURE
Kenneth Branagh, My Week With Marilyn
Albert Brooks, Drive
Jonah Hill, Moneyball
Viggo Mortensen, A Dangerous Method
Christopher Plummer, Beginners*
BEST DIRECTOR - MOTION PICTURE
Woody Allen, Midnight in Paris*
George Clooney, The Ides of March
Michel Hazanavicius, The Artist
Alexander Payne, The Descendants
Martin Scorsese, Hugo
BEST SCREENPLAY - MOTION PICTURE
The Artist
The Descendants
The Ides of March
Midnight in Paris*
Moneyball
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE - MOTION PICTURE
Ludovic Bource - The Artist*
Abel Korzeniowski - W.E.
Trent Reznor & Atticus Ross - The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo
Howard Shore - Hugo
John Williams - War Horse
BEST ORIGINAL SONG - MOTION PICTURE
"Hello Hello" - Gnomeo & Juliet - Elton John
"Lay Your Head Down" - Albert Nobbs - Sinead O'Connor
"The Living Proof" - The Help - Mary J. Blige
"The Keeper" - Machine Gun Preacher - Gerard Butler
"Masterpiece" - W.E. - Madonna*
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Comments
I'm calling it right now: Bucky Larson's grassroots write-in campaign is gonna take the upset over Bridesmaids.
It won't happen. The HFPA has a rule on ballots filled out in crayon.
My predictions:
Best Drama:
Hugo or The Descendants
Best Comedy:
Midnight in Paris
Best Actress Drama:
Viola Davis - The Help
Best Actor Drama:
George Clooney - The Descendants
Best Actress Comedy:
Michelle Williams - My Week With Marilyn
Best Actor Comedy:
Ryan Gosling - Crazy Stupid Love
Best Foreign Language Film:
A Separation (not sure)
Best Supporting Actress:
Octavia Spencer - The Help
Best Supporting Actor:
Christopher Plummer - Beginners
Best Director:
Scorsese or Payne
Best Screenplay:
Midnight in Paris
Best Score:
Anything but War Horse!
P.S. Why do you think The Help will win Best Drama if it's not even nominated for Best Director?
Really? Predicting no love for The Artist? I figured Jean Dujardin was a lock here, at least.
I hear you, but I'm going with my gut on this one -- much more than anything resembling rational, educated guessing. There are too many quirks and pliancies behind the scenes with the HFPA -- too many parties susceptible to too many influences -- to hew too closely to the conventional wisdom.
Your gut feeling is wrong.
Glad we cleared that up! Thanks!
I hope Hugo wins best drama, and I'd be happy if either Theron or Williams won best comedy actress (though I wouldn't call Williams' performance comedic). But that's about it for the prizes. I'm really tuning in for Ricky Gervais.
Just asking being that nobody I know has seen it, but is the score for W.E. really that good?
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