Oscar Index: And the Winner is... Old
The Leading 5:
1. Octavia Spencer, The Help
2. Shailene Woodley, The Descendants
3. Bérénice Bejo, The Artist
4. Vanessa Redgrave, Coriolanus
5. Janet McTeer, Albert Nobbs
Outsiders: Jessica Chastain, The Help; Sandra Bullock, Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close; Jessica Chastain, Take Shelter; Jessica Chastain, The Tree of Life; Melissa McCarthy, Bridesmaids; Keira Knightley, A Dangerous Method; Judy Greer, The Descendants
Congrats to Woodley on her biggest awards-season win to date! Congrats also to Bullock for being the only thing remotely tolerable in that reviled ELAIC trailer. Oh, and did you see Nathaniel Rogers's courtroom-style sketch of Spencer with her co-star and partner in campaigning crime Viola Davis? That has to be worth at least some uptick. Really though, that's all I've got.
The Leading 5:
1. Christopher Plummer, Beginners
2. Albert Brooks, Drive
3. Max von Sydow, Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close
4. Kevin Spacey, Margin Call
5. Ben Kingsley, Hugo
Outsiders: Jonah Hill, Moneyball; Corey Stoll, Midnight in Paris; Kenneth Branagh, My Week With Marilyn; Nick Nolte, Warrior; Patton Oswalt, Young Adult; Stanley Tucci, Margin Call
Welcome to the party, Sir Ben! Now you, too, may have the chance to be mentioned in Christopher Plummer's acceptance speech. Also: Expect Uggie to have swept into Jonah Hill's spot by the time The Sitter alienates awards voters everywhere this weekend. Good boy!
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Comments
Jeremy Irons should be nominated for Margin Call, not Spacey.
I like that the Best Supporting Actress race has begun to resemble a totem pole.
Ha! I knew there was something distinctive about it.
This year is so wide open. Don't really think there are any solid favorites and buzz will shift and get behind unexpected things. Margin Call is one of those, all of a sudden it starts getting nominated, winning, and buzz starts growing. Feel like that one is a dark horse that can pull out some surprises. Also with appreciating buzz: Rooney Mara, she could swoop in and liven up the Best Actress race.
I see Midnight in Paris listed as a contender alot of places, but it doesn't seem to be winning anything. Is it really on the radar anymore? Kind of worrisome for its chances.
Elizabeth Olsen and MMMM's buzz has completely stalled. I think that's out. Leo DiCaprio and JEdgar is out. It's still such a wide open race though, I can't remember when things have been this uncertain. I think it says something about the "top" movies that everyone is supposed to like....people might not like them as much as they want you to believe.