Weekend Forecast: Old People Critically Injured by Jackass 3-D Shenanigans

Happy Friday! Seriously, it is a very joyful day at Movieline HQ any time a new Jackass movie opens. Or any time the Director With the Best Name in Hollywood can round up four Oscar winners (and one nominee) for a brain-cell vanquishing, shoot-'em-up popcorn thriller. Or any time a fine Australian export lands on our doorstep after a nearly 18-month journey. But will they make any money? Read on and let's make some calls.

NATIONAL OUTLOOK

· Jackass 3-D: The latest stunt-and-sadism effort from Johnny Knoxville and Co. is finally here, and it is... just about what you'd expect. At least one person I know who's seen it came thisclose to vomiting, and the 3-D is put to use with things like high-speed teeth extraction and the Jet-Ski launch you're already familiar with. There's something to be said for the Jackass Generation having grown up (or accidentally killed themselves in homages gone wrong), but come on. This stuff never really gets old, and tack the 3-D prices on there and you're looking at a nice bump over the mid- to high-20s the first two films opened to. Move over, Social Network... FORECAST: $29.4 million (Full review forthcoming here this afternoon.)

· Red: Schwentke! Schwentke! Schwentke! As in Robert Schwentke, who couldn't really direct traffic in a two-car garage but has that name and those stars (Bruce Willis, Helen Mirren, Morgan Freeman, John Malkovich, Ernest Borgnine OMGZZZ) all mobilizing his upbeat caper about a gang of ex-CIA agents on the run from their old employer -- who wants them dead. Why? Dunno! That's where the 754 years of combined spy experience come in, plus comic-romantic relief provided by Mary-Louise Parker. I was underwhelmed, honestly, but your parents probably won't be, which will make this a better performer for Summit than anyone probably thinks. Can it crack $20 million? Probably not, but it won't miss by much. FORECAST: $19.8 million (Read Movieline's full review here.)

· I Want Your Money: Ironic title for a self-distributed, under-marketed conservative screed about the tax-and-spend liberal establishment, no? I'm not sure what kind of traction this has earned among its target constituency, but never underestimate the power of the Tea Party. If Ben Stein could pull in almost $8 million for that anti-evolution movie he made a few years ago, then there's no reason this can't find some zeitgeisty legs. I mean, it's got animated Reagan taking on animated Obama! Check it out! And this trailer does have a lot of YouTube views, which translates to... something marketwise. On 500+ screens, your guess is as good as mine. FORECAST: Under $1 million.

LIMITED AND NOTEWORTHY

I usually gas on about regional openings here, but let's just cut right to the important stuff: Clint Eastwood's polarizing afterlife meditation Hereafter gets a limited release in NYC and LA ahead of next week's wider rollout... Nobody is quite biting at this year's Hilary Swank Oscar-bait Conviction, but it is by all accounts better than Amelia (and who can turn away Sam Rockwell and Juliette Lewis?)... Olivier Assayas' Carlos is a thrilling, taut way to spend, oh, five and a half hours of your weekend in NYC (it comes to LA next week)... The haunting, wry, near-silent, beautifully shot aboriginal-teen-runaway love story Samson & Delilah finally makes its way into art houses in NYC and LA; absolutely look for this Australian export (which swept that country's film awards a year ago after a sterling debut at Cannes) at a theater near you down the line, or on Netflix, or wherever distinguished independent films are sold, etc., etc.