Box Office Forecast: Cloudy with a Chance of Demons

Also opening: The swoony romance Bright Star, Jane Campion's Oscar-courting glimpse at the relationship between poet John Keats and Fanny Brawne; the Charlize Theron-Kim Basinger potboiler The Burning Plain (from the writer of Babel -- consider yourself warned); and the interweaving ensemble drama Paris, featuring forthcoming Movieline Interview subject Juliette Binoche along with Romain Duris, François Cluzet, Albert Dupontel and Melanie Laurent.

THE BIG LOSER: The week's biggest underachiever will likely be Love Happens, but I wouldn't call it a loser. I'm really just too thrilled for fall to start second-guessing its early harvest quite yet. Everyone wins! Even you, Fat Damon!

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THE UNDERDOG: Admittedly, Disgrace isn't an especially efficient or well-conceived adaptation of Nobel laureate J.M. Coetzee's novel, which tracks the legacy of apartheid through the life of a pervy, exiled college professor (John Malkovich) who leaves Cape Town for a try at farm life with his white-guilt-obsessed daughter (Jessica Haines). The simmering race tensions he was oblivious to in the city explode in the countryside, barely avoiding cheapened melodrama thanks to Malkovich's performance. He excels as a man beheld to entitlement -- a primal instinct of sorts for his generation, and one that his daughter rejects on its face in almost any context, all the way down to her rights as woman and a victim of that explosion. If you can get through the pretentious slog of the first 15 minutes, there's a reward in it for you.

FOR SHUT-INS: New DVD offerings this week include X-Men Origins: Wolverine, the bloodthirsty baby thriller Grace, the mediocre comedy of manners Easy Virtue, the first seasons of Crash, Fame, Sanctuary and Fear Itself, and the long-awaited family classic Barbie and the Three Musketeers. In a nutshell: Barbie can act! Seriously! Don't let anyone tell you different.

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Comments

  • MaJean says:

    You're giving Jennifer's Body only $15 million. I know it's gotten mostly bad reviews but bad reviews has never stopped a film from taking the top spot at the box office G.I.Joe anyone? One must remember that the large portion of movie goers are kids and teenagers and since there are no children's movies being released this weekend and Jennifer is rated PG-13, she will more than likely take the top spot. Jennifer's Body is the female version of G.I. Joe. I see it taking $25-30 million and the #1 spot. The Informant and Love Happens will battle for the # 2 spot. I think Bright Star will be #3 or #4.

  • stolidog says:

    nope. meatballs all around for #1

  • The Winchester says:

    Did you even read the article? "No kids movies"? What about that first paragraph that's all about the animated movie where food rains from the sky?
    And Jennifer's Body is not PG-13, it's a hard R, preventing a lot of the core audience from seeing it.
    I normally don't mind little things, but when you can't be bothered to pay attention to what you're talking about, that chides my tail.

  • MaJean says:

    I skipped over the Meatballs part because from what I've heard it is not going to be on as many screens as Jennfer's Body or any of the other movies listed (so it's not reaching as wide of an audience), and frankly I had not even heard of it until today, so they probably didn't market the movie well enough. Although parents will probably will take there kids to anything no matter if they've heard about it or not.
    The poster I saw for Jennifer's Body said PG-13 not R, so either it was a mock up, or there some theaters listing this movie as PG-13 to increase sales. Although if it is R it will definitely hinder it's sales.
    And I still doubt Meatballs is taking the #1 spot, it will probably come in at #2 or #3. If JB doesn't go to number #1 it'll be #2 with about $20-25 million.
    I'd actually be shocked and tickled if JB comes in at #3. Shocked because Megan (and Diablo) pimped the hell out of this movie, tickled because they both want so baldy for this mediocre movie to succeed as a slap in the face to the naysayers.

  • JB's on 400 fewer screens than Cloudy, isn't tracking especially well, and is rated R. Also, half of Cloudy's screens are 3-D, so add that 25% surcharge to the top of the gross, which would still beat JB without it.

  • stolidog says:

    As far as TV marketing, I've seen about 10,000 smashing cheeseburgers to 1 jennifer's body.
    spaghetti cat for the win.

  • MaJean says:

    Oh Okay, I thought Meatballs was only a N.Y. L.A. release.

  • sweetbiscuit says:

    Ditto this.

  • katejazz says:

    I like Brandon Camp's love happens movie. Definitely I will collect that movie for my DVD collection as it fascinates me with romantic comedies.
    Source
    http://blog.80millionmoviesfree.com/in-theaters/watch-love-happens-online